Same disclaimer as always: I'm not a meteorologist and this isn't a weather channel. It's a New York weather report from someone who lives here and checks the forecast every morning for the same reason you're reading this — what to wear, and whether the umbrella is coming along.
The week at a glance: Monday is the wet one, and it's the only real rain of the week. Tuesday clears out completely. After that it climbs — low 80s to start, upper 80s from Thursday on — but Thursday through Saturday all carry an afternoon storm risk, and they all carry it at roughly the same hour.
What to actually do with that
Monday (81°F / 68°F) — Bring a real umbrella, not a token one. Ninety percent chance of rain, thunderstorms in the forecast, and up to an inch of it. This is the pouring kind, not the drizzle kind.
Put your indoor plans here. Museums, galleries, whatever you've been saving for a bad-weather day. And wear shoes you don't mind soaking, because New York pools water at every crosswalk corner and there's no graceful way across.
Tuesday (83°F / 69°F) — The only clean day of the week. If you're picking one day for something outdoors, this is it. Sunny through the afternoon with no rain in the forecast.
Wednesday (82°F / 72°F) — Mostly fine, with a 30% chance of showers after 2pm. Morning plans are safe.
Thursday–Saturday (87–88°F / 74–75°F) — Here the pattern locks in and repeats: clear mornings, showers or thunderstorms after 2pm, around a 40% chance each day.
So build these three days as outdoors in the morning, indoors in the afternoon. Get Central Park, the High Line, the Brooklyn Bridge — anything with no shade — done before lunch. Then the sky going dark at three o'clock is somebody else's problem.
One more thing
This week will feel considerably hotter than the numbers say.
The dew point is sitting at 73°F, with humidity at 85%. Anything above about 68°F starts to feel sticky, and 73°F is well past that. Eighty-eight degrees is not going to feel like eighty-eight degrees.
So pack for drying fast rather than for thin. A cotton t-shirt that gets soaked at noon is still wet at dinner. And drink more water than you think you need — the humidity hides how much you're losing.
Back next Monday with the following week.
What caught you off guard on your first New York summer? I still haven't adjusted to the humidity, and I've been here a while. Tell me in the comments, and subscribe if you want these weekly.
Tags: NYC weather, New York weather this week, August weather New York, New York travel tips, what to pack for New York, New York humidity, dew point, Hudson Valley weather, miguktv

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